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A comparative study on the accuracy of prediction methods of unerupted canine and premolars in the mixed dentition

´ëÇѼҾÆÄ¡°úÇÐȸÁö 1996³â 23±Ç 4È£ p.788 ~ 799
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Abstract


The purpose of this study was to determine the accuracy of the prediction methods which are frequently used in the clinic, such as Moyers¡¯, Tanaka and Johnston¡¯s, Song¡¯s Hixon and oldfather¡¯s, Kaplan¡¯s, Smith¡¯s. These prediction methods were compared to the data, which were obtained from 100 Kyung-Hee University students (50 males and 50 males and 50 females) with normal occlusion of permanent dentition, using a retrospective statistical analysis. The standard periapical radiopgraphs for the lower premolars using 16-inch long cone technique and the yellow stone dental casts were taken from each samples. The mesiodistal widths of 4 incisors, canine, premolars were measured on the dental casts, and those of premolars were measured on the radiographs. The correlation coefficients, paired samples t-tests, regression coefficients between the actual measuredments of the samples and the predicted measurements of each methods were analyzed.
The results obtained were as follows:
1. The prediction methods using periapical radiographs tended to show a stronger correlation than the methods using dental casts; the correlation coefficients between the actual widths of the lower canine and premolars and the predicted
widths of the tested methods were higher in Smith, Kaplan, Hixon & Oldfater, and Tanaka & Johnston (p<0.001).
2. The moyers¡¯ probability chart at 65% showed a tendency toward the least difference between the actual measurements and the predicted widths of the lower canine and the preolars, and the methods of Smith, Kaplan, Tanaka & Johnston also showed a less difference.
3. By means of evaluation in correlation coefficients and paired smaples t-tests, the Smith and Tanaka & Johnston in male, and the Moyers¡¯ 65% and Song in female showed a high tendency toward accurate methods.
4. The regression equations by models that are derived from the study were as follows :
Male(Lt.) :Y=10.799+0.475X Femle(Lt.) :Y=7.427+0.609X (Rt.) :Y=11.043+0.462X (Rt.) :Y=8.475+0.556X
5. The regression equations by radiographs that are dericed from the study were as follows : Male(Lt.) :Y=6.5651+0.9720X Femle(Lt.) :Y=4.8656+1.0632X (Rt.) :Y=7.8610+0.9060X (Rt.) :Y=4.5483+1.0843X

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